There’s a new WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana poll out, and it shows Clinton within 5 of Trump, at 43-38, down from a 7 point spread pre-debate.
Right now the race in Indiana, according to the poll, is:
- Trump — 43
- Clinton — 38
- Johnson — 11
- Undecided — 8
While Indiana has a pretty strong libertarian streak, that Johnson number, like all 3rd party numbers, is likely to go down.
So where will it go? That’s the question, isn’t it?
This is, IMHO, the mot interesting tidbit in the poll:
- 43% of Trump supporters were voting against Clinton, not for Trump
- 35% of Clinton supporters were voting against Trump, not for Clinton
That latter number is likely to go up. The poll was taken from October 3 to October 5, so it fully captured the post-debate Machado mess, but Trump’s tax returns had just dropped from the NYTimes, and more seems to be coming out every day.
Clinton holds a 47 point lead with minorities and a 7 point ead with women.
Curiously, John Gregg has a small lead over Pence’s Lt. Governor, Holcomb, and Evan Bayh and Todd Young are tied.
Indiana is only likely to turn blue in a wave, but I’m not ready to write it off yet.